Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Market suggests low likelihood of Zelenskyy speaking with Putin by year-end.

The prediction market indicates a 30.5% chance of a conversation between Zelenskyy and Putin by December 31, with a stronger consensus leaning towards 'NO' at 69.5%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors 'YES' at 34%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall skepticism about the likelihood of dialogue.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards no dialogue occurring.
• 2 The edge of 3.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Historical context may influence perceptions of dialogue likelihood.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.