Events › Politics › Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Pres…
Politics 1 platform 2 markets

Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

Combined AI YES
35.7%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$23K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Histor…
47.00%
46.11%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$18K
Volume
Manifold
Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Histor…
23.74%
25.24%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$5K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential H…
 47.00% 46.11% +1.5
55
$18K
Manifold
Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential H…
near 		23.74% 25.24% +1.5
55
$5K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 47.00% NO 53.00%
Manifold
YES 23.74% NO 76.26%
Spread: 23.3 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability shows a slight lean towards Biden ranking above Carter.
  • 2 The close probabilities indicate a divided sentiment among analysts.
  • 3 Historical context and recent events may influence future rankings.
  • 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 47.00%
Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Histor…
Manifold 23.74%
Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Histor…
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