Markets / Politics / Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Histor...
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Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey

47%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
TOO CLOSE
Verdict
46.11%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +1.5 pts

Biden's ranking below Carter in a future survey is closely contested.

The prediction market indicates a slight preference for Biden being ranked above Carter, with a probability of 55.39% for 'NO'. The close probabilities suggest uncertainty among participants regarding how historians will evaluate Biden compared to Carter in the upcoming C-SPAN survey.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market probability shows a slight lean towards Biden ranking above Carter.
  • 2 The close probabilities indicate a divided sentiment among analysts.
  • 3 Historical context and recent events may influence future rankings.
  • 4 Market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New historical analysis or commentary on Biden's presidency
Significant political events affecting public perception of Biden
Changes in the political landscape or Carter's legacy
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $17,828
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jul 2026
Status Open
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