Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?…

0.00%

2.25%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.2M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?…

0.00%

39.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.2M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?…

5.45%

53.00%

AI YES

-7.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.1M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?…

34.50%

55.00%

AI YES

-7.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$109K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?…	0.00%	2.25%	+2	75	$1.2M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?…	0.00%	39.00%	+2	75	$1.2M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?…	5.45%	53.00%	-7.5	60	$1.1M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?… near	34.50%	55.00%	-7.5	60	$109K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Polymarket

YES 5.45% NO 94.55%

Polymarket

YES 34.50% NO 65.50%

Spread: 34.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
2 The probability of a 'YES' outcome is significantly low at 0.25%.
3 Historical context suggests limited Houthi capability to strike Israel directly.
4 Market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 75/100.
5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential geopolitical shifts.