Events › Geopolitics › Iran coup attempt by June 30?…
Geopolitics 1 platform 2 markets

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Combined AI YES
23.4%
Avg Confidence
68/100
Combined Volume
$308K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Iran coup attempt by June 30?…
32.50%
34.50%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$204K
Volume
Polymarket
China coup attempt before 2027?…
6.00%
9.50%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$104K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Iran coup attempt by June 30?…
 32.50% 34.50% +2
75
$204K
Polymarket
China coup attempt before 2027?…
near 		6.00% 9.50% +3.5
60
$104K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 32.50% NO 67.50%
Polymarket
YES 6.00% NO 94.00%
Spread: 26.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a 'NO' outcome.
  • 2 The probabilities suggest a balanced view on potential instability in Iran.
  • 3 Historical context shows low frequency of successful coups in Iran.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.
  • 5 Time until expiry allows for potential developments influencing the outcome.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 32.50%
Iran coup attempt by June 30?…
Polymarket 6.00%
China coup attempt before 2027?…
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