Events › Geopolitics › Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?…
Geopolitics 2 platforms 7 markets

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Combined AI YES
56.1%
Avg Confidence
59/100
Combined Volume
$1.3M
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?…
86.00%
71.50%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$378K
Volume
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
3.95%
50.50%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$638K
Volume
Polymarket
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
38.90%
40.40%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$103K
Volume
Polymarket
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?…
13.95%
17.45%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$99K
Volume
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?…
75.50%
77.00%
AI YES
-7.5
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$43K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?…
 86.00% 71.50% -7.5
60
$378K
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
near 		3.95% 50.50% -7.5
60
$638K
Polymarket
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
near 		38.90% 40.40% +1.5
60
$103K
Polymarket
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?…
near 		13.95% 17.45% +3.5
60
$99K
Polymarket
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?…
near 		75.50% 77.00% -7.5
60
$43K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 86.00% NO 14.00%
Polymarket
YES 3.95% NO 96.05%
Polymarket
YES 38.90% NO 61.10%
Polymarket
YES 13.95% NO 86.05%
Polymarket
YES 75.50% NO 24.50%
Spread: 82.1 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment favors a strike, reflecting geopolitical concerns.
  • 2 The probability gap indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate, suggesting uncertainty in the prediction.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.
  • 5 Market dynamics could shift with new intelligence or political events.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 7 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 86.00%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?…
Polymarket 3.95%
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
Polymarket 38.90%
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?…
Polymarket 13.95%
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?…
Polymarket 75.50%
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?…
+2 more markets
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