US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? — PredictionPulse Event

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?…

17.50%

19.50%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$6.5M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?…

7.50%

51.50%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1.9M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?…

73.50%

51.50%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$648K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?…	17.50%	19.50%	+3	85	$6.5M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?…	7.50%	51.50%	+1.5	60	$1.9M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?… near	73.50%	51.50%	+1.5	60	$648K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 17.50% NO 82.50%

Polymarket

YES 7.50% NO 92.50%

Polymarket

YES 73.50% NO 26.50%

Spread: 66 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment is predominantly negative towards a ceasefire.
2 Geopolitical tensions remain high, impacting negotiations.
3 Historical data shows low rates of ceasefires in similar conflicts.
4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
5 Time pressure is significant with only 381 hours until the deadline.