Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$58.8M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$5.5M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?…

99.95%

93.95%

AI YES

-6

Edge pts

Confidence

$5.3M

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?…

0.00%

2.00%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$294K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?…	99.95%	93.95%	-6	95	$58.8M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?… near	99.95%	93.95%	-6	95	$5.5M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?… near	99.95%	93.95%	-6	95	$5.3M	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?… near	0.00%	2.00%	+2	90	$294K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 99.95% NO 0.05%

Polymarket

YES 99.95% NO 0.05%

Polymarket

YES 99.95% NO 0.05%

Polymarket

YES 0.00% NO 100.00%

Spread: 100 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market sentiment strongly favors a closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
2 The AI model indicates a lower probability than the market, suggesting potential mispricing.
3 High confidence level of 95/100 reflects strong market conviction.
4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential geopolitical developments.
5 The NO side appears undervalued, indicating possible opportunities for market correction.