Events › Science & Health › Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact proba…
Science & Health 1 platform 1 market

Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?

Combined AI YES
6%
Avg Confidence
50/100
Combined Volume
$18K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.…
2.48%
5.98%
AI YES
+3.5
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$18K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of …
 2.48% 5.98% +3.5
50
$18K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 2.48% NO 97.52%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the Pulse AI prediction.
  • 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential new information.
  • 5 Market appears fairly priced with a calculated edge of 3.5.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Science & Health
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 2.48%
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.…
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