Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the…

0.30%

4.80%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$116K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Qu…

0.15%

4.65%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$102K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec…

0.15%

4.65%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$44K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec…

58.50%

55.50%

AI YES

-3

Edge pts

Confidence

$35K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026…

10.00%

14.50%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$35K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats i…	0.30%	4.80%	+4.5	60	$116K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 20… near	0.15%	4.65%	+4.5	60	$102K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Q… near	0.15%	4.65%	+4.5	60	$44K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Q… near	58.50%	55.50%	-3	60	$35K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the… near	10.00%	14.50%	+4.5	60	$35K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in th… near	31.50%	31.50%	0	60	$34K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.30% NO 99.70%

Polymarket

YES 0.15% NO 99.85%

Polymarket

YES 0.15% NO 99.85%

Polymarket

YES 58.50% NO 41.50%

Polymarket

YES 10.00% NO 90.00%

Spread: 58.4 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in the NO outcome.
2 Pulse AI suggests a low probability for a YES outcome.
3 Current sentiment indicates stability in opposition to the Parti conservateur.
4 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
5 Time until the election allows for potential shifts in political dynamics.