Events › Geopolitics › Will Russia join the Board of Peace?…
Geopolitics 2 platforms 4 markets

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Combined AI YES
14.4%
Avg Confidence
58/100
Combined Volume
$409K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?…
0.60%
7.05%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$274K
Volume
Polymarket
Will China join the Board of Peace?…
0.05%
3.15%
AI YES
+2
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$119K
Volume
Manifold
Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?…
1.00%
16.47%
AI YES
+5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$11K
Volume
Manifold
will Russia win the war in Ukraine…
42.73%
38.51%
AI YES
-3
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$4K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?…
 0.60% 7.05% +2
65
$274K
Polymarket
Will China join the Board of Peace?…
near 		0.05% 3.15% +2
65
$119K
Manifold
Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?…
near 		1.00% 16.47% +5
55
$11K
Manifold
will Russia win the war in Ukraine…
near 		42.73% 38.51% -3
45
$4K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 0.60% NO 99.40%
Polymarket
YES 0.05% NO 99.95%
Manifold
YES 1.00% NO 99.00%
Manifold
YES 42.73% NO 57.27%
Spread: 42.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily leans towards NO.
  • 2 The gap between market and AI probabilities is relatively small.
  • 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
  • 4 Market dynamics suggest stability in the current probabilities.
  • 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 4 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 0.60%
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?…
Polymarket 0.05%
Will China join the Board of Peace?…
Manifold 1.00%
Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?…
Manifold 42.73%
will Russia win the war in Ukraine…
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