Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500…

0.80%

2.35%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$317K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March …

100.00%

98.45%

AI YES

-1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$863K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by Mar…

1.10%

3.85%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$242K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Polymarket

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 …

1.15%

3.65%

AI YES

+1.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$95K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&…	0.80%	2.35%	+1.5	65	$317K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by M… near	100.00%	98.45%	-1.5	65	$863K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 b… near	1.10%	3.85%	+1.5	65	$242K	Detail Trade →
Polymarket Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P… near	1.15%	3.65%	+1.5	65	$95K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 0.80% NO 99.20%

Polymarket

YES 100.00% NO 0.00%

Polymarket

YES 1.10% NO 98.90%

Polymarket

YES 1.15% NO 98.85%

Spread: 99.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 99.15%.
2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance at 2.35% for 'YES'.
3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 524 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.