Events › Politics › Will Trump be impeached by the House again in…
Politics 1 platform 4 markets

Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?

Combined AI YES
36.3%
Avg Confidence
48/100
Combined Volume
$60K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?…
63.57%
57.74%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$3K
Volume
Manifold
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?…
4.54%
13.79%
AI YES
+6
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$55K
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his …
64.00%
55.00%
AI YES
-9
Edge pts
45
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the …
15.54%
23.54%
AI YES
+8
Edge pts
45
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd t…
 63.57% 57.74% -7
45
$3K
Manifold
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?…
near 		4.54% 13.79% +6
55
$55K
Manifold
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of…
near 		64.00% 55.00% -9
45
—
Manifold
Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before…
near 		15.54% 23.54% +8
45
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 63.57% NO 36.43%
Manifold
YES 4.54% NO 95.46%
Manifold
YES 64.00% NO 36.00%
Manifold
YES 15.54% NO 84.46%
Spread: 59.5 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for impeachment.
  • 2 Market shows a significant gap between YES and NO probabilities.
  • 3 Historical trends indicate low rates of impeachment for presidents.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market may affect the accuracy of predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential political developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 4 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 63.57%
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?…
Manifold 4.54%
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?…
Manifold 64.00%
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his …
Manifold 15.54%
Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the …
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