Markets / AI & Tech / AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2026?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 140 days OPEN

AI bypass coding entirely by EOY 2026?

1.25%
Market YES
98.75%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
5.75%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market indicates low probability of AI fully bypassing coding by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of AI completely bypassing coding by the end of 2026, with a 98.75% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a general skepticism about this outcome, despite a moderate confidence level of 55/100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
  • 2 The probability gap indicates strong skepticism about AI's capabilities.
  • 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
  • 5 Confidence level of 55/100 suggests moderate uncertainty among participants.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major breakthroughs in AI programming capabilities
Significant shifts in industry adoption of AI tools
New regulatory frameworks impacting AI development
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $21,039
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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