Markets / AI & Tech / AI market crash by the end of 2026?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 219 days OPEN

AI market crash by the end of 2026?

2.1%
Market YES
97.9%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
6.5%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market indicates low probability of an AI market crash by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against an AI market crash, with a 98% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors stability in AI technology.
  • 2 The probability of a crash remains low, reflecting confidence in the sector.
  • 3 Historical trends show resilience in AI markets despite fluctuations.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market appears adequate for current trading activity.
  • 5 Time until expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment or events.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major technological failures in AI systems
Significant regulatory changes impacting the AI sector
Economic downturn affecting tech investments
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $18,739
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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