An LLM or AI will be credited as coauthor on a paper in Nature or Science by mid 2026

Low probability for an LLM or AI being coauthor on a Nature or Science paper by mid-2026.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards a NO outcome, with an 86% probability against AI coauthorship. The Pulse AI probability also reflects skepticism, suggesting that while there is some potential for AI involvement, it remains unlikely within the specified timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential developments in AI research.
• 5 Historical trends show limited precedent for AI as coauthors in prestigious journals.