At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Market shows a close split on Yudkowsky's belief in AI doom by 2035.

The prediction market indicates a slight lean towards Eliezer Yudkowsky believing in imminent AI doom, with a 55% probability for 'YES'. The probabilities are closely matched, suggesting uncertainty and a balanced view on the future of AI risks.

• 1 Current market probability favors belief in AI doom slightly.
• 2 Market edge indicates fair pricing with minimal bias.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty among participants.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, reinforcing the current outlook.