Markets / AI & Tech / Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000 people before 20...

Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 4891 days OPEN

Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000 people before 2040?

21.61%

Market YES

78.39%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

28.11%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $205

Liquidity $0

Resolves 02 Jan 2040

Status Open