GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?

Market leans towards no development of self-taught AI by 2030.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability for the development of a self-taught AI by 2030, but the majority sentiment is against it. With a confidence level of 40/100 and an edge of 6.5, the data suggests uncertainty in the outcome, reflecting mixed expectations among participants.

• 1 Current market probability favors NO at 65.07%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability shows a narrower gap with YES at 41.43%.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively low at 40/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 6.5 suggests insufficient data for a strong prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 33099 hours, allowing for potential developments.