I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Low probability of programming AGI for under $10k by 2030.

The market shows a strong skepticism regarding the feasibility of programming and training an AGI for less than $10k by 2030, with a NO probability of 80.92%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a consensus on the challenges involved in achieving this goal within the specified budget and timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a strong belief in high development costs.
• 3 Pulse AI probability indicates slightly more optimism than the market.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential advancements in AI technology.