In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Market is evenly split on AI playing games at human level without practice by 2028.

The prediction market shows a slight lean towards 'NO' at 52.54%, indicating skepticism about AI achieving human-level performance in random computer games without prior practice. The Pulse AI probability suggests a more optimistic view, with a 51.96% chance for 'YES'. This close split reflects uncertainty in advancements in AI capabilities over the next five years.

• 1 Market probability is closely contested, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic outlook than the market.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, reflecting mixed sentiment.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.