In exactly two years, will two shares of Applied Micro Devices (AMD) be worth more than one share of Microsoft (MSFT)?

Market strongly favors that AMD will not exceed MSFT in value in two years.

The prediction market indicates a 99% probability that two shares of AMD will not be worth more than one share of MSFT in two years. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 96% probability against this outcome. This suggests a strong consensus among participants that AMD will underperform relative to Microsoft over the specified timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Microsoft over AMD.
• 2 The probability of AMD outperforming MSFT is very low at 1%.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in confidence for AMD at 4%.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future valuations.