Markets / AI & Tech / In five years, will there be more AI compute launched to spa...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 2412 days OPEN

In five years, will there be more AI compute launched to space each year than the total amount of AI compute on Earth?

4.01%
Market YES
95.99%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
10.51%
AI YES
40
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

Most believe space AI compute will not exceed Earth's in five years.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against the likelihood of more AI compute being launched to space annually than exists on Earth, with a NO probability of 95.99%. The Pulse AI model shows slightly higher optimism but still reflects skepticism, suggesting that current trends and technological advancements may not favor significant growth in space-based AI compute in the near term.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 A significant edge of 6.5 indicates uncertainty in predictions.
  • 3 Confidence level at 40/100 suggests mixed opinions among participants.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
  • 5 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view than market consensus.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Breakthroughs in space technology enabling efficient AI compute deployment
Increased investment and interest in space-based AI applications
Major shifts in global AI compute demand or supply dynamics
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $460
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2032
Status Open
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