Markets / AI & Tech / In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-qual...

Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 98 days OPEN

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

15.39%

Market YES

84.61%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

20.46%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market leans towards AI not generating a full high-quality short film by mid 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that AI will not be capable of generating a full high-quality short film by mid 2026, with a probability of 84.04% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI model shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 20.46%, suggesting some optimism but overall consensus remains skeptical.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment favors 'NO' significantly.
2 The gap between market and Pulse AI probabilities indicates differing expectations.
3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty.
5 Time to expiry is substantial at 4068 hours, allowing for potential developments.