Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Market shows a close split on the likelihood of an AI model scoring perfectly in IMO 2026.

The prediction market indicates a slight preference for a NO outcome, with a probability of 57.37% compared to 42.63% for YES. The Pulse AI probability is also closely aligned, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5. With 3447 hours until expiry, there is ample time for developments that could influence these probabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans slightly towards NO.
• 2 The probabilities are closely matched, indicating uncertainty.
• 3 Historical performance of AI in similar competitions may influence views.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, suggesting active participation.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential significant developments.