US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Low probability for the US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal to be reinstated in Q1 2026.

The market shows an 18.40% probability for the reinstatement of the US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal during Q1 2026, indicating skepticism among participants. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 24.9%, but both figures suggest a prevailing belief that the deal is unlikely to be reinstated soon. With a confidence level of 50/100 and an edge of 6.5, the data indicates insufficient clarity for a strong assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests differing expectations.
• 3 Historical trends show fluctuating interest in tech agreements.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears limited, affecting price stability.
• 5 Time pressure is a factor with only 407 hours until expiry.