Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?

There's a 66% chance a robot will replace plumbers by 2040.

The market indicates a strong belief, at 66%, that a robot capable of fully substituting for a plumber will be developed by 2040. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on this technological advancement, although with slightly lower confidence. The market appears to be fairly priced, given the edge of -5.

• 1 Current market probability favors a positive outcome for robotic plumbers.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly lower confidence in the prediction.
• 3 The edge of -5 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Time until expiry is significant, allowing for technological advancements.
• 5 Confidence level is moderate, indicating mixed opinions among participants.