Markets / AI & Tech / Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 26805 days OPEN

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
10.5%
AI YES
50
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Low probability of AI wiping out all biological life on Earth by 2100.

The market indicates a strong consensus against the likelihood of AI causing the extinction of all biological life by 2100, with a 94% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a general agreement among participants about the low risk associated with this scenario.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' at 94%.
  • 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' at 10.5%.
  • 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive at over 74 years, allowing for long-term developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major AI breakthrough leading to unforeseen consequences
Significant public or governmental concern about AI safety
New scientific evidence suggesting AI poses a greater threat
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $5,805
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2100
Status Open
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