Markets / AI & Tech / Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 219 days OPEN

Will Alphabet divest from Anthropic by EOY?

15.82%
Market YES
84.18%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
20.32%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Low probability of Alphabet divesting from Anthropic by year-end.

The market indicates an 84.18% likelihood that Alphabet will not divest from Anthropic by the end of the year. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 79.68%, suggesting a consensus that divestment is unlikely, though there is some uncertainty reflected in the confidence score of 55/100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' on divestment.
  • 2 The probability gap between market and Pulse AI is relatively narrow.
  • 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential market shifts.
  • 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trading activity.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of strategic changes by Alphabet
New developments in Anthropic's performance or partnerships
Market reactions to regulatory pressures affecting Alphabet
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $3,076
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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