Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?

The market shows a nearly even split on AI discovering a novel security vulnerability by 2026.

With a market probability of 50.58% for a YES outcome, there is a slight lean towards the possibility of an AI agent autonomously discovering a novel security vulnerability by the end of 2026. However, the Pulse AI probability indicates a slightly higher likelihood for a NO outcome, reflecting uncertainty in the market's confidence level, which stands at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment is closely divided, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 The market edge of -3.5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 3 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments in AI capabilities.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting mixed opinions.
• 5 The probability gap between YES and NO is minimal, highlighting the contentious nature of the prediction.