Will an AI become TIME's Person of The Year by 2030?

29.2%

Market YES

70.8%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

33.7%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market leans towards AI not being TIME's Person of the Year by 2030.

The market shows a strong inclination against the possibility of an AI being named TIME's Person of the Year by 2030, with a probability of 70.8% for 'NO'. Despite a slightly higher probability from Pulse AI, the overall sentiment remains cautious about AI's recognition in this context.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market probability for YES is 29.20%, indicating skepticism.
2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability at 33.7%, reflecting some optimism.
3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, suggesting uncertainty in predictions.
5 Time to expiry is extensive at 33393 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.