Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Market leans towards AI beating a super grandmaster in chess by 2028.

The market shows a slight preference for the possibility that an AI by OpenAI will defeat a super grandmaster in chess by 2028, with a probability of 56.52%. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus on this outcome. The confidence level is moderate, suggesting uncertainty in the prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors AI with a 56.52% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 55.02%.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 50/100 suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.