The market favors a Super GM Bot over an LLM in chess by 2028.
Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that a Super GM Bot will outperform a large language model (LLM) in chess by 2028, with a 72.23% likelihood of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for an LLM victory at 32.27%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty in advancements in AI capabilities. The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.