Markets / AI & Tech / Will Anthropic Claude remain in the top 10 free apps on Appl...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires today OPEN

Will Anthropic Claude remain in the top 10 free apps on Apple App Store for 7+ consecutive days in March 2026?

89.78%
Market YES
10.22%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
72%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -7 pts

High probability suggests confidence in Claude's app performance in March 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief that Anthropic Claude will remain in the top 10 free apps on the Apple App Store for over a week in March 2026, with a 79% probability for 'YES.' However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 72%, reflecting some uncertainty. The edge of -7 indicates insufficient data for a more confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards Claude maintaining top app status.
  • 2 Key factors include app performance, user retention, and market competition.
  • 3 Historical data on app rankings may influence current probabilities.
  • 4 Liquidity in the market appears moderate, affecting bet sizes.
  • 5 Time pressure is significant with only 245 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Emergence of a competing app that gains significant popularity
Major updates or improvements to Claude that enhance user engagement
Changes in Apple's App Store ranking algorithm affecting visibility
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $556
Liquidity $0
Resolves 03 Apr 2026
Status Open
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