Will any GPT beat Stockfish in a fair fight before 2030?

Market leans towards no GPT beating Stockfish by 2030.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that no GPT will surpass Stockfish in a fair competition before 2030, with a probability of 76.23% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 28.27%, suggesting some optimism in AI advancements, but overall confidence remains moderate at 50/100.

• 1 Market probability favors NO at 76.23%, indicating skepticism about GPT's capabilities.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction is more optimistic but still leans towards NO.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current information.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty in AI advancements.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive at 33374 hours, allowing for potential developments.