Markets / AI & Tech / Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 27119 days OPEN

Will anything other than AI wipe out humanity by 2100?

3.56%
Market YES
96.44%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
8.06%
AI YES
50
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors that AI will not be the cause of humanity's extinction by 2100.

The prediction market shows a significant majority (96.44%) believing that factors other than AI will not lead to humanity's extinction by 2100. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher likelihood for AI-related risks. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment heavily favors 'NO' on AI causing extinction.
  • 2 Market probability indicates low perceived risk from AI.
  • 3 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher risk perception than the market.
  • 4 Confidence level suggests uncertainty in predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in views.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Emergence of new existential threats
Major advancements in AI capabilities
Global policy shifts regarding technology regulation
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $4,591
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2101
Status Open
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