Will Apple announce an iPhone Air 2 in 2026 event?

28%

Market YES

72%

Market NO

Trade on Manifold →

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

55.46%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

Market shows a near split on the likelihood of an iPhone Air 2 announcement in 2026.

The prediction market indicates a slight lean towards a 'NO' outcome for the announcement of an iPhone Air 2, with probabilities at 51.04% for 'NO' and 48.96% for 'YES'. However, the Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood of 55.46% for 'YES', indicating some divergence in expectations.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment is closely divided on the announcement.
2 The Pulse AI indicates a higher probability for a 'YES' outcome.
3 The edge of 6.5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.
4 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty.
5 Time to expiry is significant at 6758 hours, allowing for potential developments.