Will Apple CEO Tim Cook announce his retirement or resignation by the end of 2030?

High market probability suggests strong belief in Tim Cook's retirement by 2030.

The prediction market indicates a 97.68% probability that Tim Cook will announce his retirement or resignation by the end of 2030, reflecting significant confidence among participants. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's probability of 92.68%, suggesting a consensus on the likelihood of this event. The edge of -5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, with a moderate level of confidence at 50 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a YES outcome.
• 2 Key factors influencing the market include Tim Cook's tenure and age.
• 3 Historical trends show that tech CEOs often retire or resign in their 60s.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.