Markets / AI & Tech / Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on M...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires today OPEN

Will ChatGPT be the top free app in the Apple app store on March 31, 2026? (US)

69%
Market YES
31%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
64%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -7 pts

There's a 71% chance ChatGPT will be the top free app by March 31, 2026.

The market currently indicates a strong belief that ChatGPT will be the leading free app in the Apple App Store by the specified date, with a probability of 71%. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 64%, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction. The edge of -7 highlights insufficient data for a more definitive assessment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment favors ChatGPT's dominance.
  • 2 The probability gap indicates differing opinions among analysts.
  • 3 Historical trends in app popularity may influence outcomes.
  • 4 Market liquidity is moderate, affecting bet sizes.
  • 5 Time pressure is increasing with only 285 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Emergence of a strong competitor app
Significant updates or features added to ChatGPT
Changes in user preferences or app store policies
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $690
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Mar 2026
Status Open
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