Markets / AI & Tech / Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 220 days OPEN

Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?

23%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
29.5%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

Market favors ChatGPT over Gemini's popularity by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong preference for ChatGPT, with a 77% probability that it will remain more popular than Gemini by the end of 2026. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment but with slightly higher confidence in Gemini's potential. The edge of 6.5 suggests that the data is insufficient for a confident assessment of the market's future direction.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability shows a clear preference for ChatGPT.
  • 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly more optimistic view for Gemini.
  • 3 The edge suggests uncertainty in the market's predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes.
  • 5 Market sentiment could shift with new developments in AI technology.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major advancements in Gemini's technology or features
Significant shifts in user preferences or market trends
Increased marketing or partnerships for Gemini
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $491
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2027
Status Open
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