Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Market predicts GPT-4.5 will score at least 100 on an IQ test with 68.82% probability.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that GPT-4.5 will achieve a score of at least 100 on an IQ test, with a probability of 68.82%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 63.82%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that current expectations are aligned with the underlying analysis.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a positive outcome for GPT-4.5.
• 2 The probability of YES is significantly higher than NO.
• 3 Market edge indicates fair pricing with minimal discrepancy.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, suggesting uncertainty remains.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.