Markets / AI & Tech / Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 1186 days OPEN

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

11%
Market YES
89%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
16.5%
AI YES
45
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

The market shows a low probability of humanity wiping out AI by 2030.

With a market probability of 10% for a YES outcome, the consensus leans heavily towards NO at 90%. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a stronger belief that AI will not be wiped out before 2030.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment strongly favors the continuation of AI development.
  • 2 The market shows a significant gap between YES and NO probabilities.
  • 3 Historical trends suggest low likelihood of AI being eradicated.
  • 4 Market liquidity appears limited, affecting confidence levels.
  • 5 Time pressure is notable with over 33000 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Significant AI-related incidents raising public concern
Major regulatory changes targeting AI technologies
Breakthroughs in AI safety and control measures
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $450
Liquidity $0
Resolves 02 Jan 2030
Status Open
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