Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?

Low probability that humanity will eliminate AI risks before 2030.

The market indicates an 82.8% likelihood that humanity will not address AI x-risk by 2030, reflecting significant skepticism. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance of 23.7% for a positive outcome, but overall confidence remains low at 45 out of 100. This indicates uncertainty in the community regarding effective risk mitigation strategies.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors the belief that AI x-risk will not be mitigated by 2030.
• 2 The market shows a notable divide between human predictions and AI model assessments.
• 3 Historical data suggests a trend of underestimating AI risk management challenges.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is moderate, indicating some interest but limited engagement.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 33071 hours remaining until the market's expiry.