Will more than 1000 deaths be caused by misaligned AI before 2028?

Market suggests low probability of over 1000 AI-related deaths by 2028.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that misaligned AI will not cause more than 1000 deaths before 2028, with a NO probability of 85.63%. However, the Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability of 20.87%, suggesting some uncertainty. The confidence level is moderate at 45/100, reflecting insufficient data for a definitive assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the NO outcome.
• 2 The Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher risk perception than the market.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market edge suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.