Will "OpenAI #15: More on OpenAI’s Paranoid Lawfare..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

The market indicates low confidence in the post making the top fifty in LessWrong's review.

With a market probability of only 8.21% for a YES outcome, there is strong sentiment against the post's chances. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 14.71%, suggesting some uncertainty but still favoring a NO outcome. The edge of 6.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Market probability shows significant skepticism about the post's popularity.
• 3 Pulse AI probability suggests some potential for a YES outcome but remains low.
• 4 The edge indicates a lack of sufficient data for strong predictions.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.