Markets / AI & Tech / Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before Ju...
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Will OpenAI release a model referred to as "GPT-6" before June 1st, 2026?

11.46%
Market YES
88.54%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
15.01%
AI YES
60
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +4.5 pts

Market indicates low probability for OpenAI releasing GPT-6 by June 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the release of GPT-6 before June 1, 2026, with a probability of 89.49% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for release at 15.01%, indicating some divergence in expectations, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment is heavily leaning towards 'NO'.
  • 2 The probability of release is significantly lower than the Pulse AI estimate.
  • 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
  • 4 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1952 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of GPT-6 development or features by OpenAI
Significant advancements in AI technology that necessitate a new model
Market sentiment shifts due to competitor releases or industry trends
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $9,676
Liquidity $0
Resolves 02 Jun 2026
Status Open
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