Markets / AI & Tech / Will OpenAI retire the Sora app in 2026?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 95 days OPEN

Will OpenAI retire the Sora app in 2026?

99.06%
Market YES
0.94%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
92.62%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: -5 pts

High probability suggests OpenAI will likely retire the Sora app in 2026.

The market indicates a strong consensus that OpenAI will retire the Sora app by 2026, with a 97.62% probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 92.62%, suggesting a well-aligned market sentiment. The edge of -5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting moderate confidence in this outcome.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors retirement of the Sora app.
  • 2 The probability reflects strong confidence in OpenAI's future decisions.
  • 3 Market pricing suggests no significant misalignment with AI predictions.
  • 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
  • 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market to new information.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of new features or updates for the Sora app
Changes in OpenAI's strategic direction or priorities
Market reactions to competitor developments in AI applications
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,233
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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