Markets / AI & Tech / Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top ...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 251 days OPEN

Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

9.16%
Market YES
90.84%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
15.66%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +6.5 pts

Low probability for the post to reach top fifty in LessWrong's review.

The market shows a strong preference for the 'NO' outcome, indicating skepticism about the post's popularity. With a confidence level of 50/100 and an edge of 6.5, there is insufficient data for a confident assessment, suggesting uncertainty in the market's sentiment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 90.84%.
  • 2 Pulse AI suggests slightly higher chances for 'YES' at 15.66%.
  • 3 The edge of 6.5 indicates uncertainty in the market's assessment.
  • 4 Time to expiry is significant at 7620 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market confidence is moderate at 50/100, reflecting mixed sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Increased engagement or discussion around the post
Notable endorsements from influential figures in the AI community
Emergence of new trends or themes that align with the post's content
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $510
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Feb 2027
Status Open
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