Will superintelligent AI take over humanity by 2030?

The market indicates a low probability of superintelligent AI taking over by 2030.

Current market probabilities show a 7% chance of superintelligent AI taking over humanity by 2030, with a majority (93%) believing it will not occur. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a consensus on the low likelihood of this event. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability for AI takeover is 7%, indicating low confidence.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 11.5%, but still low.
• 3 Current sentiment leans heavily towards skepticism about AI risks.
• 4 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.