Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

The market leans towards no deaths occurring by 2027.

Current market probabilities indicate a 76% likelihood that the U.S. Space Force will not experience a guardian death on duty by the end of 2027. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for a death at 29.5%, indicating some uncertainty. However, the overall confidence level is moderate, reflecting insufficient data for a strong assessment.

• 1 Market probability favors no deaths occurring by 2027.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in perceived risk of death.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100.
• 4 Edge of 5.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at over 650 days.